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Category Archives: Daily Lines to Take

Phillies (-105): 18.64%
Rays (+137): 18.26%
Red Sox (-165): 3.94% ROI

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Phillies (+109): 12.32% ROI
Cubs (-125): 18.26% ROI

Indians (+250): 44.27% ROI
Angels (-150): 20.98% ROI
Marlins (-109): 19.21% ROI
Rays (-135): 12.96% ROI

Boston (+120): 10.53% ROI
Twins (+140): 17.55% ROI
Braves (+105): 31.20% ROI

Braves (Hampton) (40.79% chance): 42.77% ROI (+250)
Orioles (56.20% chance): 38.25% ROI (+146)
Brewers (Parra) (45.39% chance): 22.55% ROI (+170)
Blue Jays (Burnett) (61.16% chance): 22.32% ROI (even)
Mariners (47.83% chance): 19.58% ROI (+150)
Rays (Shields) (51.73% chance): 11.22% ROI (+115)
Rays (Garza) (59.85% chance): 11.00% ROI (-117)

notes:
lines not determined
cards/pirates

New Bracketing. Now it’s done by estimated return on investment rather than difference between my line and the odds line.

Yankees (58.24% chance): 28.13% ROI (+120 line)
Padres (53.93% chance): 25.66% ROI (+133 line)
DBacks (46.65% chance): 23.62% ROI (+165 line)
Phils -1.5 (53.68% chance): 23.46% ROI (+130 line)
Blue Jays (51.42% chance): 13.12% ROI (+120 line)
Reds: (48.89% chance): 12.45% ROI (+130 line)
White Sox -1.5 (37.81% chance) 11.92% ROI (+196 line)

Ridiculous Return:
Indians: -157 (-316 or better, 159 difference)
Cubs: -125 (-274 or better, 149 difference)

Great Return:
Braves -1.5: +155 (-129 or better, 84 difference)
Phillies (Moyer): +115 (-147 or better, 62 difference)
Giants -1.5: +165 (+105 or better, 60 difference)
Brewers -1.5: +125 (-130 or better, 55 difference)
White Sox -1.5: +160 (+108 or better, 52 difference)

Good Return:
Dodgers -1.5: +155 (+108 or better, 47 difference)
Phillies (Hamels): +132 (-112 or better, 44 difference)
Tampa Bay: -125 (-162 or better, 37 difference)
Cards -1.5: +145 (+109 or better, 36 difference)
Yankees: -175 (-207 or better, 32 difference)

Decent Return:
none for today

The format for this is…
Which team/line to take: oddsmaker.com line at time of post, (recommended line to take, difference between recommended line and oddsmaker.com line)

Great Return:
Tampa Bay: +170 (+111 or better, 59 difference)
Cubs: -150 (-205 or better, 55 difference)
Atlanta -1.5: +120 (-142 or better, 62 difference)
Red Sox: -140 (-191 or better, 51 difference)
Brewers -1.5: -190 (-248 or better, 58 difference)

Good Return:
Pirates: +107 (-127 or better, 34 difference)
Indians: -144 (-177 or better, 33 difference)

Decent Return:
Cards -1.5: +175 (+154 or better, 21 difference)
Chisox -1.5: +115 (-111 or better, 26 difference)